acquire or use. Synthesizing chemical warfare agents is often
difficult, particularly in home laboratories, and these supertoxic chemicals
are extremely dangerous to handle and deliver in the large quantities
needed to inflict mass casualties. Aum Shinrikyo, a Japanese doomsday
cult, spent an estimated $30 million on chemical weapons research and
had many scientists in its ranks, but it managed to kill only 19 people
with the nerve agent sarin—both because it encountered problems making
sarin, experts say, and because it had difficulty using it as a mass-casualty
weapon.
How do chemical weapons work?
To harm people, most chemical warfare agents must be inhaled, although
some act through the skin or eyes. Various agents come in gas, liquid,
aerosol-spray, or dry-powder form. An agent’s effect depends on the
purity of the chemical, its concentration in the air, the wind and weather
conditions at the time of its release, and the length of a victim’s
exposure. Enclosed spaces are more dangerous than outdoors.
Do terrorists have chemical weapons?
Aum Shinrikyo is the only terrorist group known to have possessed
and used sophisticated chemical agents, but U.S. intelligence agencies
have long warned that terrorist groups such as Hamas are seeking such
weapons. Evidence recovered in Afghanistan suggests that Osama bin Laden’s
al-Qaeda terrorist network was conducting crude chemical warfare experiments.
Information on how to make such weapons has been available in scientific
literature for decades and is now posted on the Internet, and experts
say many of the raw materials are not hard to obtain. Also, Iran, Iraq,
North Korea, Libya, Sudan, and Syria—all labeled state sponsors of terrorism
by the U.S. government—are thought to have significant chemical warfare
capabilities that they might pass along to terrorists.
What are the different sorts
of chemical agents?
The deadliest types are:
- Nerve agents such as sarin and VX, which disrupt the body’s nervous
system;
- Choking agents such as chlorine and phosgene, which attack the lungs;
and
- Blood agents such as cyanide, which carry tissue-killing poisons
throughout the body.
Depending on the level of exposure (1 milligram or less is often enough),
nerve agents such as sarin and VX can kill a victim in as little as 10
to 15 minutes. Blood agents also act rapidly, but choking agents can take
several hours to kill.
Blister-causing agents such as mustard gas attack the skin and eyes
and also can be fatal if inhaled, although much greater quantities are
required to cause death. The effects of mustard gas—pain and skin blistering—take
one to six hours to appear. Other agents such as the potent hallucinogen
BZ aim to incapacitate rather than kill.
Beyond these military-grade substances, thousands of toxic industrial
chemicals (such as chlorine, phosgene, and cyanide) and agricultural
pesticides could cause mass casualties, depending how they are prepared
and dispersed. The Chemical Weapons Convention, a 1993 disarmament and
nonproliferation treaty, names 29 specific substances and 14 broad families
of chemicals—some widely used in commercial industry—that could be used
as weapons.
How might terrorists stage a
major chemical attack?
Several ways. Experts say terrorists could try to set off a homemade
chemical device in a public area, release a gas such as chlorine into
the air by bombing a chemical plant, or blow up a vehicle transporting
hazardous materials, among other scenarios.
Could a chemical spill kill large
numbers of people?
It could, depending on the amount of toxic chemical released, the
atmospheric and weather conditions, and the spill’s proximity to a densely
populated area. One notorious precedent is the 1984 release of methyl
isocyanate gas from a Union Carbide pesticide plant in Bhopal, India,
that killed almost 4,000 people—the worst industrial accident ever.
A recently disclosed U.S. Army study warned that as many as 2.4 million
deaths and injuries could result from a terrorist attack on a chemical
plant that resulted in a release of deadly vapors over a city.